Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a Southern District of New York case, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking. Captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and arraigned shortly thereafter, he and co-defendant Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense counsel scheduled to file dismissal motions on head-of-state immunity and capture-related grounds by early September. Traders assign a 73% probability to “No” on conviction of all counts, reflecting the extended pre-trial window, pending constitutional challenges, historical parallels such as the Noriega prosecution, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in complex extraterritorial cases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano28% szansa
$126,284 Wol.
$126,284 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
28% szansa
$126,284 Wol.
$126,284 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a Southern District of New York case, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking. Captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and arraigned shortly thereafter, he and co-defendant Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense counsel scheduled to file dismissal motions on head-of-state immunity and capture-related grounds by early September. Traders assign a 73% probability to “No” on conviction of all counts, reflecting the extended pre-trial window, pending constitutional challenges, historical parallels such as the Noriega prosecution, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in complex extraterritorial cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$126,284Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a Southern District of New York case, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking. Captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and arraigned shortly thereafter, he and co-defendant Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense counsel scheduled to file dismissal motions on head-of-state immunity and capture-related grounds by early September. Traders assign a 73% probability to “No” on conviction of all counts, reflecting the extended pre-trial window, pending constitutional challenges, historical parallels such as the Noriega prosecution, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in complex extraterritorial cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$126,284Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a Southern District of New York case, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking. Captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and arraigned shortly thereafter, he and co-defendant Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense counsel scheduled to file dismissal motions on head-of-state immunity and capture-related grounds by early September. Traders assign a 73% probability to “No” on conviction of all counts, reflecting the extended pre-trial window, pending constitutional challenges, historical parallels such as the Noriega prosecution, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in complex extraterritorial cases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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