Justice Samuel Alito, 76, has publicly stated he intends to serve “another term,” directly lowering near-term retirement probabilities on prediction markets following an erroneous June 2026 NPR report and earlier conservative calls for him and Clarence Thomas to step down. This commitment aligns with Alito hiring clerks through the 2026-2027 term and sources indicating plans to continue into 2027. A departure would allow President Trump to appoint a younger conservative successor while Republicans hold a Senate majority, yet Alito has dismissed such pressure as a reminder of mortality. The Supreme Court’s new term begins in October 2026 and runs through June 2027; any announcement timing would also depend on health developments or shifts in Senate control after the November midterms. Markets currently assign the highest implied probabilities to a mid-2027 window.