Recent filings have intensified focus on whether the Supreme Court will grant certiorari in petitions challenging lower court rulings on sports event contracts offered by CFTC-registered platforms. New Jersey’s September 2026 petition in *Flaherty v. KalshiEX* (No. 26-299) followed a Third Circuit decision favoring federal preemption under the Commodity Exchange Act, while related Ninth Circuit petitions from Robinhood and Crypto.com highlight the opposite outcome supporting state gambling authority. A clear circuit split, amicus support from 39 states, the NFL, tribes, former Senator Dodd, and ex-CFTC Chair Gensler, plus Kalshi’s opposition due December 7, position the matter for possible conference consideration as early as January 2027. These developments underscore the stakes for state versus federal regulatory control and the definition of swaps versus gaming contracts.
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