Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$83,546 Wol.
$83,546 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% szansa
$83,546 Wol.
$83,546 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$83,546Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$83,546Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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