Senate inaction on recent congressional recommendations explains the 91% trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027. A April 2026 CPI report recommended proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master financial scandal—the first such formal push in Brazilian history—yet Senate leadership has declined to open committee review or schedule votes. Procedural requirements, including two-thirds Senate majorities and prosecutor-general standing, combined with longstanding institutional norms that have never produced a successful STF impeachment, continue to constrain outcomes. No new legislative or executive steps have advanced cases in the past month, sustaining the market's assessment of high barriers through the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$70,751 Wol.
$70,751 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$70,751 Wol.
$70,751 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate inaction on recent congressional recommendations explains the 91% trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027. A April 2026 CPI report recommended proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master financial scandal—the first such formal push in Brazilian history—yet Senate leadership has declined to open committee review or schedule votes. Procedural requirements, including two-thirds Senate majorities and prosecutor-general standing, combined with longstanding institutional norms that have never produced a successful STF impeachment, continue to constrain outcomes. No new legislative or executive steps have advanced cases in the past month, sustaining the market's assessment of high barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$70,751Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate inaction on recent congressional recommendations explains the 91% trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027. A April 2026 CPI report recommended proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master financial scandal—the first such formal push in Brazilian history—yet Senate leadership has declined to open committee review or schedule votes. Procedural requirements, including two-thirds Senate majorities and prosecutor-general standing, combined with longstanding institutional norms that have never produced a successful STF impeachment, continue to constrain outcomes. No new legislative or executive steps have advanced cases in the past month, sustaining the market's assessment of high barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$70,751Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate inaction on recent congressional recommendations explains the 91% trader consensus against any STF justice removal by impeachment before 2027. A April 2026 CPI report recommended proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master financial scandal—the first such formal push in Brazilian history—yet Senate leadership has declined to open committee review or schedule votes. Procedural requirements, including two-thirds Senate majorities and prosecutor-general standing, combined with longstanding institutional norms that have never produced a successful STF impeachment, continue to constrain outcomes. No new legislative or executive steps have advanced cases in the past month, sustaining the market's assessment of high barriers through the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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