Recent MrBeast Gaming uploads on the 60-million-subscriber channel, including the September 26 release of the Minecraft nostalgia video “I Found My 13 Year Old Minecraft World,” have shown solid but not record initial velocity, with early view counts clustering near 18–20 million within the first day or two. Traders have priced the 20–22 million day-two bracket at 80.1% implied probability because the title’s theme aligns with proven gaming benchmarks yet lacks the ultra-high-production hooks or external promotions that previously drove faster ramps on videos exceeding 45–50 million in 48 hours. YouTube’s recommendation algorithm continues to favor consistent Saturday drops from the channel, while competitive Minecraft content and subscriber fatigue introduce modest downside risk that keeps higher brackets below 1%.