A Massachusetts judge's November 9 ruling denying Lindsay Clancy's double-jeopardy motion cleared the way for a retrial after the September mistrial, directly shaping low trader-implied odds of a murder conviction by year-end. The first jury deadlocked 11-1 in favor of not guilty by reason of insanity amid her postpartum psychosis defense, with prosecutors acknowledging mental health issues but emphasizing deliberate actions. A November 16 hearing will set the retrial date, with March 2027 eyed, allowing time for charge adjustments or negotiations that could influence outcomes. Historical precedent for hung-jury retrials and the defense's focus on psychiatric evidence create uncertainty, keeping near-term conviction probabilities minimal while extending resolution risk into 2027.