Trader sentiment around OpenAI's Astra release reflects tight uncertainty over exact timing for the multimodal AI agent, with probabilities clustered in early September amid competitive pressure from models like Google's Gemini. Recent official demos highlighted Astra's real-time video understanding and agentic features, positioning it as a direct response to rivals' capabilities and accelerating expectations for a near-term launch. Key factors include ongoing safety testing, internal scaling challenges typical of large language model deployments, and potential regulatory scrutiny on advanced AI systems. Any credible announcement or developer event in the next week could quickly realign the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOpenAI's Astra released on...?
OpenAI's Astra released on...?
September 4 21.2%
September 9 17.3%
September 8 16.9%
September 7 14.1%
$272,003 Wol.
$272,003 Wol.
Sep 3, 2026
September 3
2%
September 4
21%
September 5
14%
September 6
11%
September 7
14%
September 8
17%
September 9
17%
September 10
5%
September 11
1%
September 12
1%
September 13
<1%
September 14
<1%
September 15
<1%
September 16
<1%
September 17
1%
September 18
<1%
September 19
<1%
September 20
<1%
September 21
<1%
September 22
<1%
September 23
<1%
September 24
<1%
September 25
<1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
<1%
September 29
<1%
September 30
<1%
No release by September 30
2%
September 4 21.2%
September 9 17.3%
September 8 16.9%
September 7 14.1%
$272,003 Wol.
$272,003 Wol.
Sep 3, 2026
September 3
$184,275 Wol.
2%
September 4
$35,362 Wol.
21%
September 5
$6,914 Wol.
14%
September 6
$3,744 Wol.
11%
September 7
$1,346 Wol.
14%
September 8
$2,910 Wol.
17%
September 9
$2,123 Wol.
17%
September 10
$2,092 Wol.
5%
September 11
$2,030 Wol.
1%
September 12
$1,656 Wol.
1%
September 13
$934 Wol.
<1%
September 14
$906 Wol.
<1%
September 15
$1,320 Wol.
<1%
September 16
$1,115 Wol.
<1%
September 17
$2,293 Wol.
1%
September 18
$845 Wol.
<1%
September 19
$940 Wol.
<1%
September 20
$1,105 Wol.
<1%
September 21
$1,193 Wol.
<1%
September 22
$1,040 Wol.
<1%
September 23
$902 Wol.
<1%
September 24
$3,335 Wol.
<1%
September 25
$1,015 Wol.
<1%
September 26
$1,002 Wol.
<1%
September 27
$1,968 Wol.
<1%
September 28
$1,121 Wol.
<1%
September 29
$945 Wol.
<1%
September 30
$950 Wol.
<1%
No release by September 30
$3,390 Wol.
2%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment around OpenAI's Astra release reflects tight uncertainty over exact timing for the multimodal AI agent, with probabilities clustered in early September amid competitive pressure from models like Google's Gemini. Recent official demos highlighted Astra's real-time video understanding and agentic features, positioning it as a direct response to rivals' capabilities and accelerating expectations for a near-term launch. Key factors include ongoing safety testing, internal scaling challenges typical of large language model deployments, and potential regulatory scrutiny on advanced AI systems. Any credible announcement or developer event in the next week could quickly realign the market-implied odds.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$272,003Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment around OpenAI's Astra release reflects tight uncertainty over exact timing for the multimodal AI agent, with probabilities clustered in early September amid competitive pressure from models like Google's Gemini. Recent official demos highlighted Astra's real-time video understanding and agentic features, positioning it as a direct response to rivals' capabilities and accelerating expectations for a near-term launch. Key factors include ongoing safety testing, internal scaling challenges typical of large language model deployments, and potential regulatory scrutiny on advanced AI systems. Any credible announcement or developer event in the next week could quickly realign the market-implied odds.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$272,003Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around OpenAI's Astra release reflects tight uncertainty over exact timing for the multimodal AI agent, with probabilities clustered in early September amid competitive pressure from models like Google's Gemini. Recent official demos highlighted Astra's real-time video understanding and agentic features, positioning it as a direct response to rivals' capabilities and accelerating expectations for a near-term launch. Key factors include ongoing safety testing, internal scaling challenges typical of large language model deployments, and potential regulatory scrutiny on advanced AI systems. Any credible announcement or developer event in the next week could quickly realign the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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