Recent monthly results underscore uncertainty in Progressive's Q2 2026 combined ratio, with April's 90.2% figure reflecting elevated catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses, offset by May's sharp improvement to 82.1%. This volatility follows Q1's 86.4% outcome and aligns with management's longstanding objective to grow policies as rapidly as possible while maintaining a combined ratio at or below 96%. Premium growth remains solid at 6-10% year-over-year, supported by pricing discipline and an 8% rise in policies in force, though loss cost trends and potential June weather events introduce variability. Trader consensus across the evenly matched buckets reflects these mixed signals ahead of the earnings release, with the outcome hinging on realized loss ratios and expense management in the final month of the quarter.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano86%-89% 64%
<86% 41%
89%-92% 38%
92%-95% 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
<86%
41%
86%-89%
64%
89%-92%
38%
92%-95%
23%
95%+
17%
86%-89% 64%
<86% 41%
89%-92% 38%
92%-95% 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
<86%
$14 Wol.
41%
86%-89%
$14 Wol.
64%
89%-92%
$14 Wol.
38%
92%-95%
$71 Wol.
23%
95%+
$52 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Recent monthly results underscore uncertainty in Progressive's Q2 2026 combined ratio, with April's 90.2% figure reflecting elevated catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses, offset by May's sharp improvement to 82.1%. This volatility follows Q1's 86.4% outcome and aligns with management's longstanding objective to grow policies as rapidly as possible while maintaining a combined ratio at or below 96%. Premium growth remains solid at 6-10% year-over-year, supported by pricing discipline and an 8% rise in policies in force, though loss cost trends and potential June weather events introduce variability. Trader consensus across the evenly matched buckets reflects these mixed signals ahead of the earnings release, with the outcome hinging on realized loss ratios and expense management in the final month of the quarter.
This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 18, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$165Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Recent monthly results underscore uncertainty in Progressive's Q2 2026 combined ratio, with April's 90.2% figure reflecting elevated catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses, offset by May's sharp improvement to 82.1%. This volatility follows Q1's 86.4% outcome and aligns with management's longstanding objective to grow policies as rapidly as possible while maintaining a combined ratio at or below 96%. Premium growth remains solid at 6-10% year-over-year, supported by pricing discipline and an 8% rise in policies in force, though loss cost trends and potential June weather events introduce variability. Trader consensus across the evenly matched buckets reflects these mixed signals ahead of the earnings release, with the outcome hinging on realized loss ratios and expense management in the final month of the quarter.
This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Wolumen
$165Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly results underscore uncertainty in Progressive's Q2 2026 combined ratio, with April's 90.2% figure reflecting elevated catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses, offset by May's sharp improvement to 82.1%. This volatility follows Q1's 86.4% outcome and aligns with management's longstanding objective to grow policies as rapidly as possible while maintaining a combined ratio at or below 96%. Premium growth remains solid at 6-10% year-over-year, supported by pricing discipline and an 8% rise in policies in force, though loss cost trends and potential June weather events introduce variability. Trader consensus across the evenly matched buckets reflects these mixed signals ahead of the earnings release, with the outcome hinging on realized loss ratios and expense management in the final month of the quarter.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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