Early polling shows Democrats holding a consistent generic ballot advantage of around six points, aligning with the typical midterm pattern where the president's party faces net losses in the House. With 36 Republican incumbents retiring compared to 20 Democrats, and battleground districts split nearly evenly, analysts note that Democrats need only modest gains to flip control. Recent redistricting shifts in states like Virginia and Missouri have produced mixed map adjustments, while Supreme Court rulings on voting rules offer Republicans some potential offsets in Southern districts. These factors, alongside strong Democratic fundraising trends, underpin the current trader consensus around lower Republican seat totals heading into November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.5%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 Wol.
$234,839 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
27%
190-194
11%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
2%
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.5%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 Wol.
$234,839 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$17,616 Wol.
27%
190-194
$8,513 Wol.
11%
195-199
$28,129 Wol.
12%
200-204
$22,115 Wol.
12%
205-209
$35,376 Wol.
10%
210-214
$12,841 Wol.
9%
215-219
$8,059 Wol.
11%
220-224
$53,714 Wol.
9%
225-229
$21,391 Wol.
3%
230+
$27,084 Wol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Early polling shows Democrats holding a consistent generic ballot advantage of around six points, aligning with the typical midterm pattern where the president's party faces net losses in the House. With 36 Republican incumbents retiring compared to 20 Democrats, and battleground districts split nearly evenly, analysts note that Democrats need only modest gains to flip control. Recent redistricting shifts in states like Virginia and Missouri have produced mixed map adjustments, while Supreme Court rulings on voting rules offer Republicans some potential offsets in Southern districts. These factors, alongside strong Democratic fundraising trends, underpin the current trader consensus around lower Republican seat totals heading into November 2026.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$234,839Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Early polling shows Democrats holding a consistent generic ballot advantage of around six points, aligning with the typical midterm pattern where the president's party faces net losses in the House. With 36 Republican incumbents retiring compared to 20 Democrats, and battleground districts split nearly evenly, analysts note that Democrats need only modest gains to flip control. Recent redistricting shifts in states like Virginia and Missouri have produced mixed map adjustments, while Supreme Court rulings on voting rules offer Republicans some potential offsets in Southern districts. These factors, alongside strong Democratic fundraising trends, underpin the current trader consensus around lower Republican seat totals heading into November 2026.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$234,839Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Early polling shows Democrats holding a consistent generic ballot advantage of around six points, aligning with the typical midterm pattern where the president's party faces net losses in the House. With 36 Republican incumbents retiring compared to 20 Democrats, and battleground districts split nearly evenly, analysts note that Democrats need only modest gains to flip control. Recent redistricting shifts in states like Virginia and Missouri have produced mixed map adjustments, while Supreme Court rulings on voting rules offer Republicans some potential offsets in Southern districts. These factors, alongside strong Democratic fundraising trends, underpin the current trader consensus around lower Republican seat totals heading into November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania