Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first U.S. bovine case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, have driven trader focus on potential federal emergency declarations. USDA APHIS reports 37 animal cases through July 31 with zero domestically acquired human infestations; CDC activated a Level 3 emergency response on June 12 to support surveillance. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife, prompting Texas Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster proclamations since January 2026 and expanded June measures. Ongoing sterile insect technique releases, FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive drugs, and planned port reopenings in August reflect active containment but highlight uncertainties around further northward spread or escalation requiring presidential national emergency action.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NOWE
Jan 1, 2027
August 30
44%
October 31
41%
December 31
48%
$1,442 Wol.
August 30
$61 Wol.
44%
October 31
$0 Wol.
41%
December 31
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first U.S. bovine case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, have driven trader focus on potential federal emergency declarations. USDA APHIS reports 37 animal cases through July 31 with zero domestically acquired human infestations; CDC activated a Level 3 emergency response on June 12 to support surveillance. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife, prompting Texas Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster proclamations since January 2026 and expanded June measures. Ongoing sterile insect technique releases, FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive drugs, and planned port reopenings in August reflect active containment but highlight uncertainties around further northward spread or escalation requiring presidential national emergency action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,442Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first U.S. bovine case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, have driven trader focus on potential federal emergency declarations. USDA APHIS reports 37 animal cases through July 31 with zero domestically acquired human infestations; CDC activated a Level 3 emergency response on June 12 to support surveillance. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife, prompting Texas Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster proclamations since January 2026 and expanded June measures. Ongoing sterile insect technique releases, FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive drugs, and planned port reopenings in August reflect active containment but highlight uncertainties around further northward spread or escalation requiring presidential national emergency action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,442Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first U.S. bovine case on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, have driven trader focus on potential federal emergency declarations. USDA APHIS reports 37 animal cases through July 31 with zero domestically acquired human infestations; CDC activated a Level 3 emergency response on June 12 to support surveillance. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife, prompting Texas Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster proclamations since January 2026 and expanded June measures. Ongoing sterile insect technique releases, FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive drugs, and planned port reopenings in August reflect active containment but highlight uncertainties around further northward spread or escalation requiring presidential national emergency action.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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