Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the U.S. began with a confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in a calf from Zavala County, Texas, marking the first domestic livestock infestation since 1966. USDA-APHIS reports have since identified additional livestock cases (calves and a goat) in La Salle, Zavala, and Gillespie counties through June 8–9, all within Texas, alongside one case in a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. No confirmed livestock infestations have occurred outside Texas as of the latest official updates. The parasite’s northward advance from Central America and Mexico since 2023, driven by wound-infesting larvae that can rapidly multiply in livestock and wildlife, has prompted expanded USDA surveillance, sterile insect releases, quarantines, and border monitoring. Resolution hinges on laboratory confirmation of larvae in livestock wounds via USDA channels, with new case reports or model updates from APHIS and state animal health officials likely to shift implied probabilities. Historical eradication success relied on the sterile insect technique, but current conditions near the border elevate risks of further spread before containment stabilizes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

June 30
67%

August 30
72%

October 31
50%

December 31
52%
$20 Wol.

June 30
67%

August 30
72%

October 31
50%

December 31
52%
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the U.S. began with a confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in a calf from Zavala County, Texas, marking the first domestic livestock infestation since 1966. USDA-APHIS reports have since identified additional livestock cases (calves and a goat) in La Salle, Zavala, and Gillespie counties through June 8–9, all within Texas, alongside one case in a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. No confirmed livestock infestations have occurred outside Texas as of the latest official updates. The parasite’s northward advance from Central America and Mexico since 2023, driven by wound-infesting larvae that can rapidly multiply in livestock and wildlife, has prompted expanded USDA surveillance, sterile insect releases, quarantines, and border monitoring. Resolution hinges on laboratory confirmation of larvae in livestock wounds via USDA channels, with new case reports or model updates from APHIS and state animal health officials likely to shift implied probabilities. Historical eradication success relied on the sterile insect technique, but current conditions near the border elevate risks of further spread before containment stabilizes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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