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icon for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

icon for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

NOWE
Polymarket

$20 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for June 30

June 30

$20 Wol.

67%

icon for August 30

August 30

$0 Wol.

72%

icon for October 31

October 31

$0 Wol.

50%

icon for December 31

December 31

$0 Wol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the U.S. began with a confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in a calf from Zavala County, Texas, marking the first domestic livestock infestation since 1966. USDA-APHIS reports have since identified additional livestock cases (calves and a goat) in La Salle, Zavala, and Gillespie counties through June 8–9, all within Texas, alongside one case in a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. No confirmed livestock infestations have occurred outside Texas as of the latest official updates. The parasite’s northward advance from Central America and Mexico since 2023, driven by wound-infesting larvae that can rapidly multiply in livestock and wildlife, has prompted expanded USDA surveillance, sterile insect releases, quarantines, and border monitoring. Resolution hinges on laboratory confirmation of larvae in livestock wounds via USDA channels, with new case reports or model updates from APHIS and state animal health officials likely to shift implied probabilities. Historical eradication success relied on the sterile insect technique, but current conditions near the border elevate risks of further spread before containment stabilizes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$20
Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in the U.S. began with a confirmed case on June 3, 2026, in a calf from Zavala County, Texas, marking the first domestic livestock infestation since 1966. USDA-APHIS reports have since identified additional livestock cases (calves and a goat) in La Salle, Zavala, and Gillespie counties through June 8–9, all within Texas, alongside one case in a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. No confirmed livestock infestations have occurred outside Texas as of the latest official updates. The parasite’s northward advance from Central America and Mexico since 2023, driven by wound-infesting larvae that can rapidly multiply in livestock and wildlife, has prompted expanded USDA surveillance, sterile insect releases, quarantines, and border monitoring. Resolution hinges on laboratory confirmation of larvae in livestock wounds via USDA channels, with new case reports or model updates from APHIS and state animal health officials likely to shift implied probabilities. Historical eradication success relied on the sterile insect technique, but current conditions near the border elevate risks of further spread before containment stabilizes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$20
Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "August 30" z 72%, za nim "June 30" z 67%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 72¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 72% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 10, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." jest "August 30" z 72%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 72% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "June 30" z 67%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.