Recent polling averages show Democratic candidates leading in Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate contests two days before the November 3 election. Abdul El-Sayed holds a roughly 5-point edge over Mike Rogers in Michigan, James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by about 3 points in Texas, and Sherrod Brown maintains a narrow advantage over Jon Husted in the Ohio special election. These trends, reinforced by final surveys from sources including NYT/Siena, position a Democratic sweep as the highest-probability outcome among traders. Texas remains the most competitive of the three, which supports elevated pricing on mixed results such as Democratic holds in Michigan and Ohio paired with a Republican win in Texas. No major late-breaking developments have altered the polling trajectory in the final week.