Recent August employment data, showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a stronger-than-expected 162,000 nonfarm payroll gain, anchors trader sentiment for the September print due September 4. This resilience, following July's revised +21,000 and prior months near 4.1-4.2%, highlights a labor market in "slow hire, slow fire" mode with stable participation around 61.6% and contained wage pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.0% and 4.2%, reflecting balanced risks from potential labor force re-entry, seasonal factors, and the September 11 CPI release ahead of the FOMC meeting. Traders price in modest uncertainty around whether the rate edges higher amid softening demand or holds amid full-employment conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSeptember Unemployment Rate
September Unemployment Rate
4.1% 40%
4.2% 26%
4.0% 19%
4.3% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 2, 2026
≤3.8%
5%
3.9%
6%
4.0%
19%
4.1%
40%
4.2%
26%
4.3%
11%
4.4%
5%
4.5%
5%
≥4.6%
4%
4.1% 40%
4.2% 26%
4.0% 19%
4.3% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 2, 2026
≤3.8%
$654 Wol.
5%
3.9%
$105 Wol.
6%
4.0%
$62 Wol.
19%
4.1%
$697 Wol.
40%
4.2%
$87 Wol.
26%
4.3%
$62 Wol.
11%
4.4%
$176 Wol.
5%
4.5%
$505 Wol.
5%
≥4.6%
$505 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August employment data, showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a stronger-than-expected 162,000 nonfarm payroll gain, anchors trader sentiment for the September print due September 4. This resilience, following July's revised +21,000 and prior months near 4.1-4.2%, highlights a labor market in "slow hire, slow fire" mode with stable participation around 61.6% and contained wage pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.0% and 4.2%, reflecting balanced risks from potential labor force re-entry, seasonal factors, and the September 11 CPI release ahead of the FOMC meeting. Traders price in modest uncertainty around whether the rate edges higher amid softening demand or holds amid full-employment conditions.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,854Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August employment data, showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a stronger-than-expected 162,000 nonfarm payroll gain, anchors trader sentiment for the September print due September 4. This resilience, following July's revised +21,000 and prior months near 4.1-4.2%, highlights a labor market in "slow hire, slow fire" mode with stable participation around 61.6% and contained wage pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.0% and 4.2%, reflecting balanced risks from potential labor force re-entry, seasonal factors, and the September 11 CPI release ahead of the FOMC meeting. Traders price in modest uncertainty around whether the rate edges higher amid softening demand or holds amid full-employment conditions.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$2,854Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent August employment data, showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a stronger-than-expected 162,000 nonfarm payroll gain, anchors trader sentiment for the September print due September 4. This resilience, following July's revised +21,000 and prior months near 4.1-4.2%, highlights a labor market in "slow hire, slow fire" mode with stable participation around 61.6% and contained wage pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.0% and 4.2%, reflecting balanced risks from potential labor force re-entry, seasonal factors, and the September 11 CPI release ahead of the FOMC meeting. Traders price in modest uncertainty around whether the rate edges higher amid softening demand or holds amid full-employment conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania