SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 13%
$250+ 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
2%
$100-$150
30%
$150-$200
50%
$200-$250
13%
$250+
4%
No IPO before 2028
1%
$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 13%
$250+ 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
$244 Wol.
2%
$100-$150
$390 Wol.
30%
$150-$200
$68 Wol.
50%
$200-$250
$12 Wol.
13%
$250+
$25 Wol.
4%
No IPO before 2028
$635 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,374Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,374Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s May 2026 SEC filing and accelerated timeline for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising at least $75 billion, represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. With roadshow activity underway and pricing expected as early as June 11, markets are pricing the initial closing share price predominantly in the $150–$200 band at 49.5% implied probability, followed by the $100–$150 range at 30%. These levels reflect the balance between record valuation multiples—near 94 times sales at the low end—and potential post-listing volatility typical of large tech IPOs. The negligible 0.9% odds attached to no IPO before 2028 underscore near-certainty of imminent listing, while lower-probability outcomes above $250 or below $100 capture tail risks tied to investor reception and comparable transaction precedents.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania