**Ongoing US sanctions, a naval blockade restricting Iranian oil exports, and resulting revenue collapse have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record lows near or above 2.2 million rials per dollar in early September 2026.** These pressures, intensified since the February 2026 conflict escalation and reinforced through summer, have sharply reduced hard-currency inflows, fueled inflation above 80% year-over-year, and limited the central bank's capacity to stabilize the parallel market despite occasional interventions. With end-September resolution imminent and no major diplomatic or export relief evident in recent weeks, traders assign the highest probability (64.5%) to the 2.2–2.5 million range, reflecting the current trajectory and structural barriers to rapid recovery. Higher bands carry lower odds as further sharp depreciation would require additional escalation beyond recent patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,093 Wol.
$27,093 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
10%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,093 Wol.
$27,093 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
$4,413 Wol.
10%
2.2 to 2.5M
$6,917 Wol.
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
$11,137 Wol.
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
$3,075 Wol.
4%
3.1M+
$1,552 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions, a naval blockade restricting Iranian oil exports, and resulting revenue collapse have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record lows near or above 2.2 million rials per dollar in early September 2026.**
These pressures, intensified since the February 2026 conflict escalation and reinforced through summer, have sharply reduced hard-currency inflows, fueled inflation above 80% year-over-year, and limited the central bank's capacity to stabilize the parallel market despite occasional interventions. With end-September resolution imminent and no major diplomatic or export relief evident in recent weeks, traders assign the highest probability (64.5%) to the 2.2–2.5 million range, reflecting the current trajectory and structural barriers to rapid recovery. Higher bands carry lower odds as further sharp depreciation would require additional escalation beyond recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,093Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions, a naval blockade restricting Iranian oil exports, and resulting revenue collapse have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record lows near or above 2.2 million rials per dollar in early September 2026.**
These pressures, intensified since the February 2026 conflict escalation and reinforced through summer, have sharply reduced hard-currency inflows, fueled inflation above 80% year-over-year, and limited the central bank's capacity to stabilize the parallel market despite occasional interventions. With end-September resolution imminent and no major diplomatic or export relief evident in recent weeks, traders assign the highest probability (64.5%) to the 2.2–2.5 million range, reflecting the current trajectory and structural barriers to rapid recovery. Higher bands carry lower odds as further sharp depreciation would require additional escalation beyond recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$27,093Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing US sanctions, a naval blockade restricting Iranian oil exports, and resulting revenue collapse have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record lows near or above 2.2 million rials per dollar in early September 2026.** These pressures, intensified since the February 2026 conflict escalation and reinforced through summer, have sharply reduced hard-currency inflows, fueled inflation above 80% year-over-year, and limited the central bank's capacity to stabilize the parallel market despite occasional interventions. With end-September resolution imminent and no major diplomatic or export relief evident in recent weeks, traders assign the highest probability (64.5%) to the 2.2–2.5 million range, reflecting the current trajectory and structural barriers to rapid recovery. Higher bands carry lower odds as further sharp depreciation would require additional escalation beyond recent patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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