**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
USD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 62%
2.0-2.1M 15%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
1.9-2.0M 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
2%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
6%
2.0-2.1M
15%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
62%
2.2M+ 62%
2.0-2.1M 15%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
1.9-2.0M 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
$459 Wol.
1%
1.7-1.8M
$380 Wol.
2%
1.8-1.9M
$378 Wol.
3%
1.9-2.0M
$1,179 Wol.
6%
2.0-2.1M
$2,372 Wol.
15%
2.1-2.2M
$889 Wol.
11%
2.2M+
$3,338 Wol.
62%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,995Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$8,995Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the USD/IRR rate at end-September heavily favors levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar (61.5% implied probability).** This positioning stems from intensified U.S. economic pressure during the ongoing conflict, including a naval blockade that has cut Iranian crude exports by over 80% in August and secondary sanctions under the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” announced in late August. These measures target oil shipping, financial networks, and enablers, compounding a 35% drop in foreign trade and 66% inflation. The free-market rate has already reached record lows near 2.02–2.08 million rials per dollar, reflecting reduced oil revenue and constrained access to foreign currency. With no resolution in sight before September and limited diplomatic progress, market pricing reflects expectations that these constraints will sustain or accelerate rial depreciation through the month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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