**No new country has formally acceded to the Abraham Accords since the earlier expansions, and major candidates remain stalled.** Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a stance reiterated amid U.S. efforts to link a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to accession. Recent U.S. statements tying the nuclear framework to the accords have not produced movement, while Riyadh pursues alternative security alignments. Speculation around smaller Gulf states such as Kuwait has surfaced in diplomatic commentary, but remains unconfirmed and faces longstanding political hurdles. Deepening ties among existing participants, including recent Israel-Morocco embassy and flight upgrades, reflect consolidation rather than expansion. With limited time left in 2026 and no scheduled breakthroughs or shifts in core bargaining positions, traders assess the probability of a new signatory before 2027 as low.