Israel’s government has advanced extensive settlement construction, land registration processes, and administrative transfers granting civilian oversight to figures like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, measures widely described as de facto integration of West Bank territory. These steps, including hundreds of new housing units advanced in 2026 and legalization of outposts, have not included an official declaration of sovereignty or Knesset passage of annexation legislation. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed explicit bills amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, international sanctions on settlement goods announced in September 2026, and preparations for potential elections. Traders assign a 95% probability to no formal annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these structural barriers despite ongoing ground-level changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
5% szansa
$90,926 Wol.
$90,926 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% szansa
$90,926 Wol.
$90,926 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced extensive settlement construction, land registration processes, and administrative transfers granting civilian oversight to figures like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, measures widely described as de facto integration of West Bank territory. These steps, including hundreds of new housing units advanced in 2026 and legalization of outposts, have not included an official declaration of sovereignty or Knesset passage of annexation legislation. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed explicit bills amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, international sanctions on settlement goods announced in September 2026, and preparations for potential elections. Traders assign a 95% probability to no formal annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these structural barriers despite ongoing ground-level changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$90,926Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced extensive settlement construction, land registration processes, and administrative transfers granting civilian oversight to figures like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, measures widely described as de facto integration of West Bank territory. These steps, including hundreds of new housing units advanced in 2026 and legalization of outposts, have not included an official declaration of sovereignty or Knesset passage of annexation legislation. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed explicit bills amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, international sanctions on settlement goods announced in September 2026, and preparations for potential elections. Traders assign a 95% probability to no formal annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these structural barriers despite ongoing ground-level changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$90,926Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Israel’s government has advanced extensive settlement construction, land registration processes, and administrative transfers granting civilian oversight to figures like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, measures widely described as de facto integration of West Bank territory. These steps, including hundreds of new housing units advanced in 2026 and legalization of outposts, have not included an official declaration of sovereignty or Knesset passage of annexation legislation. Prime Minister Netanyahu has blocked or delayed explicit bills amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, international sanctions on settlement goods announced in September 2026, and preparations for potential elections. Traders assign a 95% probability to no formal annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these structural barriers despite ongoing ground-level changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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