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icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Polityka·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Polityka·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

$33,687 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$33,687 Wol.

Polymarket

4800+

$10,339 Wol.

1%

4900+

$16,346 Wol.

1%

5000+

$7,002 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.**ICE enforcement operations in New York City have expanded notably since President Trump’s second term began in January 2025, with federal data showing 5,567 immigration arrests in the NYC area through mid-March 2026—a 71% increase over the prior comparable period.** Roughly half occurred at the 26 Federal Plaza immigration court, reflecting a strategy of targeted operations against individuals with criminal records or removal orders. Key recent developments include a May 2026 federal court order limiting arrests at Manhattan immigration courthouses except in exceptional circumstances, alongside persistent NYC sanctuary policies that restrict local agencies from honoring ICE detainers or sharing information. These factors have shaped enforcement pace and tactics. Upstate New York has also recorded elevated activity, but New York City remains the focal point for volume. With the June 30 resolution date now less than two weeks away, trader consensus (reflected in current market pricing) incorporates the impact of judicial constraints, ongoing local non-cooperation, and the compressed remaining timeframe for additional arrests to accumulate toward the threshold. Scheduled enforcement actions or any further legal rulings in the interim represent the primary variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Wolumen
$33,687
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.**ICE enforcement operations in New York City have expanded notably since President Trump’s second term began in January 2025, with federal data showing 5,567 immigration arrests in the NYC area through mid-March 2026—a 71% increase over the prior comparable period.** Roughly half occurred at the 26 Federal Plaza immigration court, reflecting a strategy of targeted operations against individuals with criminal records or removal orders. Key recent developments include a May 2026 federal court order limiting arrests at Manhattan immigration courthouses except in exceptional circumstances, alongside persistent NYC sanctuary policies that restrict local agencies from honoring ICE detainers or sharing information. These factors have shaped enforcement pace and tactics. Upstate New York has also recorded elevated activity, but New York City remains the focal point for volume. With the June 30 resolution date now less than two weeks away, trader consensus (reflected in current market pricing) incorporates the impact of judicial constraints, ongoing local non-cooperation, and the compressed remaining timeframe for additional arrests to accumulate toward the threshold. Scheduled enforcement actions or any further legal rulings in the interim represent the primary variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Wolumen
$33,687
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

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"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "4800+" z 1%, za nim "4900+" z 1%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 1¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 1% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" wygenerował $33.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 28, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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