OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
$13,377 Wol.
$13,377 Wol.
$13,377 Wol.
$13,377 Wol.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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