The trader consensus favoring "No" at 65% implied probability stems from the uncertain political and scheduling dynamics around the 2026 World Cup final rather than on-field developments. As co-hosts, the United States, Canada, and Mexico will see the champions photo feature FIFA leadership and the winning squad, with any U.S. presidential attendance hinging on official invitations and timing that remain unconfirmed weeks before the July conclusion. Recent qualification campaigns, group-stage form, and roster updates across competing nations have not shifted expectations on this ancillary detail, while historical patterns show host-nation figures appear only under specific diplomatic conditions.