Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of progress on lowering the corporate tax rate since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed in July 2025, which extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like individual rates and pass-through deductions but preserved the 21% corporate rate amid deficit concerns from fiscal hawks. Recent April 2026 Treasury reports and Tax Day analyses highlight benefits from no-tax-on-tips and overtime rules, alongside falling corporate revenues from expanded deductions, yet no new reconciliation bill or floor votes have advanced a rate cut. With 2026 midterms looming, narrow House and Senate Republican majorities face whip count challenges, leaving slim odds for action before year-end despite Trump's prior 15-20% proposals. Late-breaking executive actions or post-election lame-duck pushes remain long-shot catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$15,673 Wol.
$15,673 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,673 Wol.
$15,673 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of progress on lowering the corporate tax rate since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed in July 2025, which extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like individual rates and pass-through deductions but preserved the 21% corporate rate amid deficit concerns from fiscal hawks. Recent April 2026 Treasury reports and Tax Day analyses highlight benefits from no-tax-on-tips and overtime rules, alongside falling corporate revenues from expanded deductions, yet no new reconciliation bill or floor votes have advanced a rate cut. With 2026 midterms looming, narrow House and Senate Republican majorities face whip count challenges, leaving slim odds for action before year-end despite Trump's prior 15-20% proposals. Late-breaking executive actions or post-election lame-duck pushes remain long-shot catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,673Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of progress on lowering the corporate tax rate since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed in July 2025, which extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like individual rates and pass-through deductions but preserved the 21% corporate rate amid deficit concerns from fiscal hawks. Recent April 2026 Treasury reports and Tax Day analyses highlight benefits from no-tax-on-tips and overtime rules, alongside falling corporate revenues from expanded deductions, yet no new reconciliation bill or floor votes have advanced a rate cut. With 2026 midterms looming, narrow House and Senate Republican majorities face whip count challenges, leaving slim odds for action before year-end despite Trump's prior 15-20% proposals. Late-breaking executive actions or post-election lame-duck pushes remain long-shot catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Wolumen
$15,673Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of progress on lowering the corporate tax rate since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed in July 2025, which extended many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like individual rates and pass-through deductions but preserved the 21% corporate rate amid deficit concerns from fiscal hawks. Recent April 2026 Treasury reports and Tax Day analyses highlight benefits from no-tax-on-tips and overtime rules, alongside falling corporate revenues from expanded deductions, yet no new reconciliation bill or floor votes have advanced a rate cut. With 2026 midterms looming, narrow House and Senate Republican majorities face whip count challenges, leaving slim odds for action before year-end despite Trump's prior 15-20% proposals. Late-breaking executive actions or post-election lame-duck pushes remain long-shot catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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