xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoxAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$20,870 Wol.
Feb 28, 2026
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57%
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18%
$20,870 Wol.
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$5,197 Wol.
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$12,605 Wol.
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$2,898 Wol.
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$170 Wol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,870Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$20,870Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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