Scottie Scheffler holds the highest implied probability at 13.5% as the world number one and most consistent major performer entering the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, though his season includes just one victory and mixed recent results that have tempered expectations for a career Grand Slam. The tightly bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the event's demanding setup on a historic, penal course that rewards elite ball-striking and course management over raw power, creating realistic paths for players like Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Xander Schauffele who bring strong recent major form or prior success on similar tests. No dominant favorite has emerged because the U.S. Open historically produces varied winners amid shifting conditions and the depth of the PGA Tour roster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner
PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner
Wyndham Clark 33.4%
Xander Schauffele 11.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 10.8%
Scottie Scheffler 7%
$3,386,626 Vol.
$3,386,626 Vol.
Wyndham Clark
33%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
Scottie Scheffler
7%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Tom Kim
4%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Sam Stevens
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Harris English
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
David Puig
2%
Jackson Suber
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Ludvig Aberg
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Lucas Herbert
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Harry Higgs
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
J.J. Spaun
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Bryson DeChambeau
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Sepp Straka
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Wyndham Clark 33.4%
Xander Schauffele 11.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 10.8%
Scottie Scheffler 7%
$3,386,626 Vol.
$3,386,626 Vol.
Wyndham Clark
33%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
Scottie Scheffler
7%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Tom Kim
4%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Sam Stevens
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Harris English
2%
Alexander Noren
2%
David Puig
2%
Jackson Suber
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Ludvig Aberg
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Lucas Herbert
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Harry Higgs
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
J.J. Spaun
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Bryson DeChambeau
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Sepp Straka
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Fonte de resolução
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler holds the highest implied probability at 13.5% as the world number one and most consistent major performer entering the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, though his season includes just one victory and mixed recent results that have tempered expectations for a career Grand Slam. The tightly bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the event's demanding setup on a historic, penal course that rewards elite ball-striking and course management over raw power, creating realistic paths for players like Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Xander Schauffele who bring strong recent major form or prior success on similar tests. No dominant favorite has emerged because the U.S. Open historically produces varied winners amid shifting conditions and the depth of the PGA Tour roster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions