The incumbent People's Party, led by regional president Juanma Moreno, maintains a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–20 points over the PSOE-A throughout the campaign, strong performance in the 2022 vote that delivered an absolute majority, and voter preference for the current administration's economic and governance record. With all 109 seats contested on May 17, 2026, final results showed the PP securing 53 seats—enough to form a government, potentially with Vox support—while the PSOE-A fell to 28 seats. Traders view this outcome as highly likely to hold, given the clear seat projections and absence of major late developments. A narrow recount or coalition negotiation deadlock remains the only realistic path that could alter the result before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,898 Vol.
$169,898 Vol.
17 mai 2026
PP
100%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,898 Vol.
$169,898 Vol.
17 mai 2026
PP
$60,460 Vol.
100%
PSOE-A
$63,033 Vol.
<1%
VOX
$36,234 Vol.
<1%
PA
$5,745 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The incumbent People's Party, led by regional president Juanma Moreno, maintains a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–20 points over the PSOE-A throughout the campaign, strong performance in the 2022 vote that delivered an absolute majority, and voter preference for the current administration's economic and governance record. With all 109 seats contested on May 17, 2026, final results showed the PP securing 53 seats—enough to form a government, potentially with Vox support—while the PSOE-A fell to 28 seats. Traders view this outcome as highly likely to hold, given the clear seat projections and absence of major late developments. A narrow recount or coalition negotiation deadlock remains the only realistic path that could alter the result before market resolution.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$169,898Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The incumbent People's Party, led by regional president Juanma Moreno, maintains a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–20 points over the PSOE-A throughout the campaign, strong performance in the 2022 vote that delivered an absolute majority, and voter preference for the current administration's economic and governance record. With all 109 seats contested on May 17, 2026, final results showed the PP securing 53 seats—enough to form a government, potentially with Vox support—while the PSOE-A fell to 28 seats. Traders view this outcome as highly likely to hold, given the clear seat projections and absence of major late developments. A narrow recount or coalition negotiation deadlock remains the only realistic path that could alter the result before market resolution.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Volume
$169,898Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The incumbent People's Party, led by regional president Juanma Moreno, maintains a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–20 points over the PSOE-A throughout the campaign, strong performance in the 2022 vote that delivered an absolute majority, and voter preference for the current administration's economic and governance record. With all 109 seats contested on May 17, 2026, final results showed the PP securing 53 seats—enough to form a government, potentially with Vox support—while the PSOE-A fell to 28 seats. Traders view this outcome as highly likely to hold, given the clear seat projections and absence of major late developments. A narrow recount or coalition negotiation deadlock remains the only realistic path that could alter the result before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions