Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration’s managed float and inflation-indexed crawling band, which has kept the peso relatively stable near 1,510 as of mid-September 2026 despite cumulative inflation of roughly 21% year-to-date. The strong-peso stance, supported by BCRA interventions in futures and bond markets plus reserve purchases exceeding IMF targets, has produced real appreciation that weighs on manufacturing and growth forecasts, now trimmed toward 2%. Consensus projections from the REM and government budget point to 1,600–1,760 by December, aligning with the 62% market-implied probability of 1,600+. Key near-term drivers include monthly CPI releases that reset the band’s crawl rate, fiscal surplus maintenance, and any adjustments to energy prices or external financing conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTaxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?
Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?
1600,00+ 60%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450,00–1499,99 4.7%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
2%
1300,00–1349,99
3%
1350,00–1399,99
3%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450,00–1499,99
5%
1500,00–1549,99
11%
1550,00–1599,99
10%
1600,00+
60%
1600,00+ 60%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450,00–1499,99 4.7%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
$608 Vol.
3%
1250,00–1299,99
$1,024 Vol.
2%
1300,00–1349,99
$893 Vol.
3%
1350,00–1399,99
$978 Vol.
3%
1400,00–1449,99
$1,316 Vol.
4%
1450,00–1499,99
$1,546 Vol.
5%
1500,00–1549,99
$1,417 Vol.
11%
1550,00–1599,99
$825 Vol.
10%
1600,00+
$2,401 Vol.
60%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration’s managed float and inflation-indexed crawling band, which has kept the peso relatively stable near 1,510 as of mid-September 2026 despite cumulative inflation of roughly 21% year-to-date. The strong-peso stance, supported by BCRA interventions in futures and bond markets plus reserve purchases exceeding IMF targets, has produced real appreciation that weighs on manufacturing and growth forecasts, now trimmed toward 2%. Consensus projections from the REM and government budget point to 1,600–1,760 by December, aligning with the 62% market-implied probability of 1,600+. Key near-term drivers include monthly CPI releases that reset the band’s crawl rate, fiscal surplus maintenance, and any adjustments to energy prices or external financing conditions.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$11,008Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration’s managed float and inflation-indexed crawling band, which has kept the peso relatively stable near 1,510 as of mid-September 2026 despite cumulative inflation of roughly 21% year-to-date. The strong-peso stance, supported by BCRA interventions in futures and bond markets plus reserve purchases exceeding IMF targets, has produced real appreciation that weighs on manufacturing and growth forecasts, now trimmed toward 2%. Consensus projections from the REM and government budget point to 1,600–1,760 by December, aligning with the 62% market-implied probability of 1,600+. Key near-term drivers include monthly CPI releases that reset the band’s crawl rate, fiscal surplus maintenance, and any adjustments to energy prices or external financing conditions.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$11,008Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration’s managed float and inflation-indexed crawling band, which has kept the peso relatively stable near 1,510 as of mid-September 2026 despite cumulative inflation of roughly 21% year-to-date. The strong-peso stance, supported by BCRA interventions in futures and bond markets plus reserve purchases exceeding IMF targets, has produced real appreciation that weighs on manufacturing and growth forecasts, now trimmed toward 2%. Consensus projections from the REM and government budget point to 1,600–1,760 by December, aligning with the 62% market-implied probability of 1,600+. Key near-term drivers include monthly CPI releases that reset the band’s crawl rate, fiscal surplus maintenance, and any adjustments to energy prices or external financing conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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