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Mundo·Argentina

Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?

icon for Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?
Mundo·Argentina

Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

dez 31

dez 31

1600,00+ 44%

1400,00–1449,99 19.1%

1550,00–1599,99 19.0%

1500,00–1549,99 17.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

1600,00+ 44%

1400,00–1449,99 19.1%

1550,00–1599,99 19.0%

1500,00–1549,99 17.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

<1250,00

$419 Vol.

2%

1250,00–1299,99

$577 Vol.

5%

1300,00–1349,99

$504 Vol.

4%

1350,00–1399,99

$578 Vol.

12%

1400,00–1449,99

$853 Vol.

11%

1450,00–1499,99

$1,026 Vol.

3%

1500,00–1549,99

$827 Vol.

23%

1550,00–1599,99

$551 Vol.

26%

1600,00+

$1,623 Vol.

44%

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,959
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,959
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1600,00+" at 44%, followed by "1550,00–1599,99" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?" is "1600,00+" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1550,00–1599,99" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.