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Mundo·Dólar

Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)

icon for Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)
Mundo·Dólar

Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)

dez 31

dez 31

dez 31

dez 31

Polymarket

$18,323 Vol.

Polymarket

$18,323 Vol.

<1600,00

$1,911 Vol.

36%

1600,00–1699,99

$1,460 Vol.

18%

1700,00–1799,99

$1,163 Vol.

11%

1800,00–1899,99

$1,099 Vol.

4%

1900,00–1999,99

$11,260 Vol.

2%

2000,00+

$1,430 Vol.

7%

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina's official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration's sustained disinflation and the central bank's crawling-band regime. With year-over-year inflation now near 30% and consensus forecasts pointing to further moderation around 20-30% for the full year, the peso is expected to depreciate gradually as the trading band expands at prior inflation rates. Recent IMF disbursements, rising foreign reserves, and fiscal surpluses have reinforced stability, anchoring the 36% implied probability on outcomes below 1,600 ARS per USD. Key swing factors include the pace of reserve accumulation ahead of $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities and any acceleration in monthly price pressures that could widen the band faster than priced.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,323
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment for Argentina's official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on the Milei administration's sustained disinflation and the central bank's crawling-band regime. With year-over-year inflation now near 30% and consensus forecasts pointing to further moderation around 20-30% for the full year, the peso is expected to depreciate gradually as the trading band expands at prior inflation rates. Recent IMF disbursements, rising foreign reserves, and fiscal surpluses have reinforced stability, anchoring the 36% implied probability on outcomes below 1,600 ARS per USD. Key swing factors include the pace of reserve accumulation ahead of $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities and any acceleration in monthly price pressures that could widen the band faster than priced.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,323
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<1600,00" at 36%, followed by "1600,00–1699,99" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)" is "<1600,00" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1600,00–1699,99" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026? (Parênteses Superiores)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.