**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market reflects the crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, under which the intervention band adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation readings.** With the spot rate near 1,515 ARS per USD in mid-September and monthly inflation running around 1.7-2%, the implied path points to modest further depreciation through year-end. Central bank surveys and analyst consensus project the majorista rate near 1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the combined 83.5% probability assigned to outcomes below 1,700. Reserve accumulation by the BCRA, fiscal surpluses, and interventions supporting a strong peso have narrowed parallel-market gaps and reinforced the disinflation anchor, while higher global energy prices pose a modest upside risk to the crawl. The structure favors a contained move consistent with the current 25% end-2026 inflation target rather than abrupt adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$22,028 Vol.
$22,028 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1600,00
46%
1600,00–1699,99
35%
1700,00–1799,99
8%
1800,00–1899,99
3%
1900,00–1999,99
24%
2000,00+
4%
$22,028 Vol.
$22,028 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1600,00
$2,526 Vol.
46%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,030 Vol.
35%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,203 Vol.
8%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,709 Vol.
3%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,772 Vol.
24%
2000,00+
$1,788 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market reflects the crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, under which the intervention band adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation readings.** With the spot rate near 1,515 ARS per USD in mid-September and monthly inflation running around 1.7-2%, the implied path points to modest further depreciation through year-end. Central bank surveys and analyst consensus project the majorista rate near 1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the combined 83.5% probability assigned to outcomes below 1,700.
Reserve accumulation by the BCRA, fiscal surpluses, and interventions supporting a strong peso have narrowed parallel-market gaps and reinforced the disinflation anchor, while higher global energy prices pose a modest upside risk to the crawl. The structure favors a contained move consistent with the current 25% end-2026 inflation target rather than abrupt adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,028Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market reflects the crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, under which the intervention band adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation readings.** With the spot rate near 1,515 ARS per USD in mid-September and monthly inflation running around 1.7-2%, the implied path points to modest further depreciation through year-end. Central bank surveys and analyst consensus project the majorista rate near 1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the combined 83.5% probability assigned to outcomes below 1,700.
Reserve accumulation by the BCRA, fiscal surpluses, and interventions supporting a strong peso have narrowed parallel-market gaps and reinforced the disinflation anchor, while higher global energy prices pose a modest upside risk to the crawl. The structure favors a contained move consistent with the current 25% end-2026 inflation target rather than abrupt adjustments.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,028Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS exchange rate market reflects the crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, under which the intervention band adjusts monthly in line with lagged inflation readings.** With the spot rate near 1,515 ARS per USD in mid-September and monthly inflation running around 1.7-2%, the implied path points to modest further depreciation through year-end. Central bank surveys and analyst consensus project the majorista rate near 1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the combined 83.5% probability assigned to outcomes below 1,700. Reserve accumulation by the BCRA, fiscal surpluses, and interventions supporting a strong peso have narrowed parallel-market gaps and reinforced the disinflation anchor, while higher global energy prices pose a modest upside risk to the crawl. The structure favors a contained move consistent with the current 25% end-2026 inflation target rather than abrupt adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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