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Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4

jun 30

jun 30

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 79%

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 16%

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo 3.7%

Be Her - Ella Langley 2.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 79%

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 16%

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo 3.7%

Be Her - Ella Langley 2.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$54 Vol.

79%

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

$81 Vol.

16%

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo

$23 Vol.

4%

Be Her - Ella Langley

$82 Vol.

2%

The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo

$595 Vol.

1%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$594 Vol.

1%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$615 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Multiple high-profile releases are fueling a dead-heat race for the Billboard Hot 100 summit on the chart dated around July 4, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Olivia Rodrigo’s cluster of tracks including “stupid song” and “drop dead,” and Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” all posting comparable streaming, sales, and airplay metrics. Rodrigo’s June album drop has generated four simultaneous top-10 entries that could surge on updated consumption data, while Langley’s sustained country-radio dominance and Swift’s established sales momentum create offsetting advantages. Midweek updates, final streaming tallies, and any surprise physical bundles remain the key swing factors that will determine which single claims the top spot.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,045
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Multiple high-profile releases are fueling a dead-heat race for the Billboard Hot 100 summit on the chart dated around July 4, with Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Olivia Rodrigo’s cluster of tracks including “stupid song” and “drop dead,” and Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” all posting comparable streaming, sales, and airplay metrics. Rodrigo’s June album drop has generated four simultaneous top-10 entries that could surge on updated consumption data, while Langley’s sustained country-radio dominance and Swift’s established sales momentum create offsetting advantages. Midweek updates, final streaming tallies, and any surprise physical bundles remain the key swing factors that will determine which single claims the top spot.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,045
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of July 4, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 79%, followed by "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of July 4" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.