Heidenheim's 50.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their urgent relegation battle on the Bundesliga's final day, holding 17th place with 26 points from 33 games and needing a home win at Voith-Arena to secure survival alongside results elsewhere. Their recent form—three wins, two draws in last six league matches, including a 3-1 upset at Koln last weekend—has fueled a late surge despite the league-worst 70 goals conceded. Mid-table Mainz (10th, 37 points) sit 28.5% with no stakes, hampered by a recent 3-1 loss to Union Berlin and doubts over Maxim Leitsch (thigh) and Danny da Costa (knock), though they hold a 2-0 head-to-head edge from earlier wins this season. The 21.5% draw reflects evenly matched history (2-2-1 overall).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

If 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heidenheim's 50.5% implied probability as slight favorites stems from their urgent relegation battle on the Bundesliga's final day, holding 17th place with 26 points from 33 games and needing a home win at Voith-Arena to secure survival alongside results elsewhere. Their recent form—three wins, two draws in last six league matches, including a 3-1 upset at Koln last weekend—has fueled a late surge despite the league-worst 70 goals conceded. Mid-table Mainz (10th, 37 points) sit 28.5% with no stakes, hampered by a recent 3-1 loss to Union Berlin and doubts over Maxim Leitsch (thigh) and Danny da Costa (knock), though they hold a 2-0 head-to-head edge from earlier wins this season. The 21.5% draw reflects evenly matched history (2-2-1 overall).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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