In this Bundesliga relegation decider on the final matchday, VfL Wolfsburg holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability over host FC St. Pauli (33.5%) and draw (25.5%), driven by both clubs' dire form amid mounting injury crises. St. Pauli, rock-bottom with 26 points alongside Wolfsburg and Heidenheim, are winless in nine games—including three straight losses—and reeling from a stomach bug sidelining defenders Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, and Louis Oppie, plus long-term absences like Manolis Saliakas, Karol Mets, and Mathias Pereira Lage. Wolfsburg, also on 26 points, miss Patrick Wimmer (thigh), Maximilian Arnold (groin), and Jonas Wind (hamstring), but their recent 2-1 home win over St. Pauli and four prior head-to-head draws bolster sentiment for an away upset potential despite poor away form. Home crowd energy at Millerntor-Stadion keeps it closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...In this Bundesliga relegation decider on the final matchday, VfL Wolfsburg holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability over host FC St. Pauli (33.5%) and draw (25.5%), driven by both clubs' dire form amid mounting injury crises. St. Pauli, rock-bottom with 26 points alongside Wolfsburg and Heidenheim, are winless in nine games—including three straight losses—and reeling from a stomach bug sidelining defenders Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, and Louis Oppie, plus long-term absences like Manolis Saliakas, Karol Mets, and Mathias Pereira Lage. Wolfsburg, also on 26 points, miss Patrick Wimmer (thigh), Maximilian Arnold (groin), and Jonas Wind (hamstring), but their recent 2-1 home win over St. Pauli and four prior head-to-head draws bolster sentiment for an away upset potential despite poor away form. Home crowd energy at Millerntor-Stadion keeps it closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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