Mercedes' commanding early-season form, with Kimi Antonelli securing multiple poles and leading the drivers' standings ahead of teammate George Russell, underpins the tight pole-position market at the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Recent upgrades have lifted Red Bull and McLaren into contention, allowing Max Verstappen to close the gap after strong qualifying showings in Miami and prior rounds, while Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris benefit from McLaren's improved pace. The 30.5% implied probability on Russell reflects his experience on the technical Montreal layout, yet the bunched odds around Verstappen, Antonelli, and the McLaren duo highlight how small margins in Q3 sectors and evolving car balance keep the battle wide open heading into qualifying.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKimi Antonelli 31%
George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 28%
Oscar Piastri 24%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
25%
Oscar Piastri
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Alexander Albon
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Lance Stroll
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 31%
George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 28%
Oscar Piastri 24%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
25%
Oscar Piastri
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Alexander Albon
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Lance Stroll
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' commanding early-season form, with Kimi Antonelli securing multiple poles and leading the drivers' standings ahead of teammate George Russell, underpins the tight pole-position market at the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Recent upgrades have lifted Red Bull and McLaren into contention, allowing Max Verstappen to close the gap after strong qualifying showings in Miami and prior rounds, while Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris benefit from McLaren's improved pace. The 30.5% implied probability on Russell reflects his experience on the technical Montreal layout, yet the bunched odds around Verstappen, Antonelli, and the McLaren duo highlight how small margins in Q3 sectors and evolving car balance keep the battle wide open heading into qualifying.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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