Recent USMNT midfield injuries—Johnny Cardoso ruled out post-ankle surgery and Tanner Tessmann sidelined with a muscle issue—have fueled the tight Group D race, reflected in trader consensus pricing USA at 40.5% and Türkiye at 35.5% to advance as winners. As co-hosts, the USMNT enjoy home advantage across fixtures including the June 13 opener versus Paraguay and Group D finale against Türkiye in Los Angeles, but their qualifying form pales against Türkiye's strong second-place UEFA finish behind Spain. Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL playoff run and defensive solidity give them 17.5% implied odds, while Australia's recent FIFA Series wins over Cameroon and Curaçao trail at 7.2% amid Harry Souttar's fitness concerns, underscoring a fiercely competitive group stage dynamic.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA 41%
Turquia 36%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 7.2%
$44,221 Vol.
$44,221 Vol.
EUA
41%
Turquia
36%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
7%
EUA 41%
Turquia 36%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 7.2%
$44,221 Vol.
$44,221 Vol.
EUA
41%
Turquia
36%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent USMNT midfield injuries—Johnny Cardoso ruled out post-ankle surgery and Tanner Tessmann sidelined with a muscle issue—have fueled the tight Group D race, reflected in trader consensus pricing USA at 40.5% and Türkiye at 35.5% to advance as winners. As co-hosts, the USMNT enjoy home advantage across fixtures including the June 13 opener versus Paraguay and Group D finale against Türkiye in Los Angeles, but their qualifying form pales against Türkiye's strong second-place UEFA finish behind Spain. Paraguay's gritty CONMEBOL playoff run and defensive solidity give them 17.5% implied odds, while Australia's recent FIFA Series wins over Cameroon and Curaçao trail at 7.2% amid Harry Souttar's fitness concerns, underscoring a fiercely competitive group stage dynamic.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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