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icon for FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Principal Da Casa

FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Principal Da Casa

FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana

Randy Fine 100.0%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Joshua Vasquez <1%

Aaron Baker <1%

Polymarket

$368,722 Vol.

Randy Fine 100.0%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Joshua Vasquez <1%

Aaron Baker <1%

Polymarket

$368,722 Vol.

icon for Alexandra Van Cleef

Alexandra Van Cleef

$41,191 Vol.

Não

icon for Joshua Vasquez

Joshua Vasquez

$13,607 Vol.

Não

icon for Aaron Baker

Aaron Baker

$28,867 Vol.

Não

icon for Dan Bilzerian

Dan Bilzerian

$204,780 Vol.

Não

icon for Randy Fine

Randy Fine

$42,459 Vol.

Sim

icon for Charles Gambaro

Charles Gambaro

$17,669 Vol.

Não

icon for Ernest Audino

Ernest Audino

$20,148 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 6th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing 57.6% of the vote against challengers including Daniel Bilzerian, Aaron Baker, and Charles Gambaro. As the incumbent who took office following a 2025 special election, Fine benefited from established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantages, and alignment with district voters on core issues such as insurance reform and economic policy. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the completed vote count and his clear margin in this Republican-leaning district. Potential challenges to final resolution could arise only from rare post-election disputes, such as a successful recount petition or certification delays, though none have materialized based on available results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$368,722
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 6th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing 57.6% of the vote against challengers including Daniel Bilzerian, Aaron Baker, and Charles Gambaro. As the incumbent who took office following a 2025 special election, Fine benefited from established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantages, and alignment with district voters on core issues such as insurance reform and economic policy. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the completed vote count and his clear margin in this Republican-leaning district. Potential challenges to final resolution could arise only from rare post-election disputes, such as a successful recount petition or certification delays, though none have materialized based on available results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$368,722
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Randy Fine" at 100%, followed by "Alexandra Van Cleef" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $368.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Randy Fine" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandra Van Cleef" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.