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Política·Primária Da Louisiana

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Primária Da Louisiana

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

Blake Miguez 65%

Michael Echols 19.3%

Rick Edmonds 4.5%

Misti Cordell 1.6%

Polymarket

$36,389 Vol.

Blake Miguez 65%

Michael Echols 19.3%

Rick Edmonds 4.5%

Misti Cordell 1.6%

Polymarket

$36,389 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$16,947 Vol.

65%

Michael Echols

$9,934 Vol.

19%

Rick Edmonds

$707 Vol.

4%

Misti Cordell

$899 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,172 Vol.

2%

Michael Mebruer

$891 Vol.

1%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,839 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez holds a commanding 64.5% trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary market, propelled by President Trump's endorsement, unmatched fundraising ($6.2 million raised, $4 million cash on hand as of March), and a narrow lead in the April Bedrock poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters). Echols commands 19.3% with robust self-funding ($1.4 million cash) and a developer profile tied to Monroe, the district core. The May 16 blanket primary was suspended April 30 after a Supreme Court gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, thrusting candidates into a crowded November 3 general where top-two advance if no majority. Recent forums and attack ads spotlight Miguez's out-of-district residency and Echols' business-linked legislation, keeping the race fluid ahead of potential runoff dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,389
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez holds a commanding 64.5% trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary market, propelled by President Trump's endorsement, unmatched fundraising ($6.2 million raised, $4 million cash on hand as of March), and a narrow lead in the April Bedrock poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters). Echols commands 19.3% with robust self-funding ($1.4 million cash) and a developer profile tied to Monroe, the district core. The May 16 blanket primary was suspended April 30 after a Supreme Court gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, thrusting candidates into a crowded November 3 general where top-two advance if no majority. Recent forums and attack ads spotlight Miguez's out-of-district residency and Echols' business-linked legislation, keeping the race fluid ahead of potential runoff dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,389
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Blake Miguez" at 65%, followed by "Michael Echols" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $36.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Blake Miguez" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Echols" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.