Trader consensus heavily favors Le Mans FC at 90% implied probability to win against SC Bastia, driven by the LFP's official ruling awarding Le Mans a 2-0 victory after their May 9 Ligue 2 finale at Stade de Furiani was abandoned in stoppage time. Le Mans led 2-1 when Bastia fans unleashed flares and pyrotechnics amid relegation fears, prompting referees to halt play permanently following over 40 minutes of delays. This secured Le Mans' second-place finish and promotion to Ligue 1— their first since 2010—reflecting their strong end-of-season form with just one loss in 28 matches. Bastia's slim 0.1% and draw's 10% account for near-certainty absent a successful appeal to the disciplinary commission, which could theoretically order a replay but faces low odds given the fan violence precedent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIf SC Bastia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 26, 2026, 3:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.ligue2.fr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If SC Bastia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 26, 2026, 3:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.ligue2.fr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Le Mans FC at 90% implied probability to win against SC Bastia, driven by the LFP's official ruling awarding Le Mans a 2-0 victory after their May 9 Ligue 2 finale at Stade de Furiani was abandoned in stoppage time. Le Mans led 2-1 when Bastia fans unleashed flares and pyrotechnics amid relegation fears, prompting referees to halt play permanently following over 40 minutes of delays. This secured Le Mans' second-place finish and promotion to Ligue 1— their first since 2010—reflecting their strong end-of-season form with just one loss in 28 matches. Bastia's slim 0.1% and draw's 10% account for near-certainty absent a successful appeal to the disciplinary commission, which could theoretically order a replay but faces low odds given the fan violence precedent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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