Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 23 de agosto?
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
29%
13°C
46%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$214 Vol.
1%
10°C
$55 Vol.
2%
11°C
$42 Vol.
8%
12°C
$392 Vol.
29%
13°C
$111 Vol.
46%
14°C
$75 Vol.
18%
15°C
$40 Vol.
4%
16°C
$98 Vol.
2%
17°C
$20 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,240Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,240Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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