Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 26 de junho?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$41,963 Vol.
$41,963 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$41,963 Vol.
$41,963 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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