Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on July 9?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 9?
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 6.3%
NOVO
NOVO
9 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
28%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 6.3%
NOVO
NOVO
9 jul 2026
25°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$92 Vol.
1%
28°C
$17 Vol.
6%
29°C
$62 Vol.
18%
30°C
$111 Vol.
34%
31°C
$76 Vol.
28%
32°C
$9 Vol.
6%
33°C
$45 Vol.
4%
34°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$984Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$984Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime highs in Busan on July 9 will likely peak near 30°C, supporting the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on that outcome. Typhoon BAVI's projected track is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential light precipitation that could moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar heating and enhanced sea breezes along the Korea Strait coast. Historical July baselines for Busan cluster between 27–30°C, but subtle differences in BAVI's timing, intensity, or steering flow may determine whether readings reach 31°C or stay at 29°C, creating the tight spread across adjacent bins. Updated short-range runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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