Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 21 de julho?
39°C 39%
38°C 27%
40°C 22%
37°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
21 jul 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
8%
38°C
27%
39°C
39%
40°C
22%
41°C
6%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 39%
38°C 27%
40°C 22%
37°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
21 jul 2026
34°C or below
$485 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$667 Vol.
1%
36°C
$584 Vol.
2%
37°C
$1,161 Vol.
8%
38°C
$939 Vol.
27%
39°C
$1,046 Vol.
39%
40°C
$979 Vol.
22%
41°C
$1,789 Vol.
6%
42°C
$415 Vol.
1%
43°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,609Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,609Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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