Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 22 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 22 de julho?
19°C 43%
20°C 31%
18°C 22%
17°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
22 jul 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
22%
19°C
43%
20°C
31%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 31%
18°C 22%
17°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
22 jul 2026
15°C or below
$415 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$369 Vol.
1%
17°C
$641 Vol.
3%
18°C
$711 Vol.
22%
19°C
$560 Vol.
43%
20°C
$1,553 Vol.
31%
21°C
$650 Vol.
3%
22°C
$344 Vol.
1%
23°C
$549 Vol.
1%
24°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$6,130Data de Término
22 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,130Data de Término
22 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and regional model runs for July 22 favor a modest westerly flow with partial cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 19–20°C and producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger ridging that could push readings to 21°C or higher, while the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions reduces odds of exceeding 22°C. These forecasts align with typical mid-July climatology after the late-June heatwave, with KNMI guidance and upstream Atlantic patterns reinforcing the current implied probabilities through resolution on the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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