Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 21 de julho?
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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