Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most probable high for Houston on July 21 because short-range forecast guidance from models such as the GFS and NAM indicates surface temperatures peaking slightly above the 95°F climatological normal amid light winds and abundant Gulf moisture. Afternoon convective cloud development and a possible weak sea-breeze front introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping readings in the mid-90s or allowing brief clearing that supports upper-90s values. Historical analogs for late-July patterns show that modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of diurnal heating can easily shift the daily maximum by 3–5°F, explaining why the adjacent 96–97°F and 100–101°F bins also carry substantial implied probability while lower and higher extremes remain discounted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 21 de julho?
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 24%
94-95°F 6.7%
NOVO
$12,367 Vol.
NOVO
$12,367 Vol.
21 jul 2026
85°F ou menos
<1%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
1%
104°F ou mais
1%
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 24%
94-95°F 6.7%
NOVO
$12,367 Vol.
NOVO
$12,367 Vol.
21 jul 2026
85°F ou menos
$305 Vol.
<1%
30-31°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$786 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,899 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$439 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$950 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$3,411 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$1,415 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$1,416 Vol.
25%
102-103°F
$1,106 Vol.
1%
104°F ou mais
$335 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most probable high for Houston on July 21 because short-range forecast guidance from models such as the GFS and NAM indicates surface temperatures peaking slightly above the 95°F climatological normal amid light winds and abundant Gulf moisture. Afternoon convective cloud development and a possible weak sea-breeze front introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping readings in the mid-90s or allowing brief clearing that supports upper-90s values. Historical analogs for late-July patterns show that modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of diurnal heating can easily shift the daily maximum by 3–5°F, explaining why the adjacent 96–97°F and 100–101°F bins also carry substantial implied probability while lower and higher extremes remain discounted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Volume
$12,367Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most probable high for Houston on July 21 because short-range forecast guidance from models such as the GFS and NAM indicates surface temperatures peaking slightly above the 95°F climatological normal amid light winds and abundant Gulf moisture. Afternoon convective cloud development and a possible weak sea-breeze front introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping readings in the mid-90s or allowing brief clearing that supports upper-90s values. Historical analogs for late-July patterns show that modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of diurnal heating can easily shift the daily maximum by 3–5°F, explaining why the adjacent 96–97°F and 100–101°F bins also carry substantial implied probability while lower and higher extremes remain discounted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,367Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most probable high for Houston on July 21 because short-range forecast guidance from models such as the GFS and NAM indicates surface temperatures peaking slightly above the 95°F climatological normal amid light winds and abundant Gulf moisture. Afternoon convective cloud development and a possible weak sea-breeze front introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping readings in the mid-90s or allowing brief clearing that supports upper-90s values. Historical analogs for late-July patterns show that modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of diurnal heating can easily shift the daily maximum by 3–5°F, explaining why the adjacent 96–97°F and 100–101°F bins also carry substantial implied probability while lower and higher extremes remain discounted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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