Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 21 de julho?
27°C 56%
28°C 30%
29°C 15%
30°C 1.6%
NOVO
$106,545 Vol.
NOVO
$106,545 Vol.
21 jul 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
56%
28°C
30%
29°C
15%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 56%
28°C 30%
29°C 15%
30°C 1.6%
NOVO
$106,545 Vol.
NOVO
$106,545 Vol.
21 jul 2026
21°C or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13,166 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$22,513 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$19,226 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,122 Vol.
56%
28°C
$5,080 Vol.
30%
29°C
$11,922 Vol.
15%
30°C
$14,178 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$11,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$106,545Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106,545Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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