Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 15 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 15 de julho?
28°C 39%
29°C 35%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
NOVO
$16,025 Vol.
NOVO
$16,025 Vol.
15 jul 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
39%
29°C
35%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 35%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
NOVO
$16,025 Vol.
NOVO
$16,025 Vol.
15 jul 2026
24°C or below
$522 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$546 Vol.
1%
26°C
$624 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,791 Vol.
18%
28°C
$3,851 Vol.
39%
29°C
$3,026 Vol.
35%
30°C
$497 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,094 Vol.
1%
32°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,611 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,750 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$16,025Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,025Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions