Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres em 14 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 14 de julho?
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 3.5%
NOVO
$56,689 Vol.
NOVO
$56,689 Vol.
14 jul 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
30%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 3.5%
NOVO
$56,689 Vol.
NOVO
$56,689 Vol.
14 jul 2026
24°C or below
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,784 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,194 Vol.
1%
27°C
$12,464 Vol.
3%
28°C
$7,820 Vol.
18%
29°C
$6,162 Vol.
46%
30°C
$4,779 Vol.
30%
31°C
$4,401 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4,592 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$56,689Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,689Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions