Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and other models indicate highs near 34–35°C for Taipei on July 15, with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity likely capping peaks amid typical midsummer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 35–36°C because urban heat retention and peak solar insolation favor those values, yet variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that keeps probabilities split across nearby thresholds. Historical July averages near 33°C and the potential for brief clear spells support the modest edge for 36°C, while any earlier or heavier precipitation could suppress readings toward 33–34°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.