Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on July 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?
90-91°F 57%
88-89°F 26.7%
92-93°F 16%
94-95°F 1.5%
$43,698 Vol.
$43,698 Vol.
3 jul 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 57%
88-89°F 26.7%
92-93°F 16%
94-95°F 1.5%
$43,698 Vol.
$43,698 Vol.
3 jul 2026
81°F or below
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,930 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,523 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,654 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$11,282 Vol.
57%
92-93°F
$5,480 Vol.
16%
94-95°F
$3,293 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$629 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$43,698Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,698Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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