Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a warm, humid southwest flow over the Northeast on September 3, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia, with 60-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap peak temperatures. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover are key variables that could shift the daily maximum between the tightly matched 82-83°F and 84-85°F market bins, while drier breaks or stronger mixing might allow brief pushes toward 86°F. Historical September averages near 80°F provide baseline context, but the near-term pattern favors these moderate outcomes over extremes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 2 will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 3 de setembro?
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
75°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$54 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$212 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$12 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$77 Vol.
32%
86-87°F
$411 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$20 Vol.
9%
90-91°F
$35 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$31 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a warm, humid southwest flow over the Northeast on September 3, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia, with 60-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap peak temperatures. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover are key variables that could shift the daily maximum between the tightly matched 82-83°F and 84-85°F market bins, while drier breaks or stronger mixing might allow brief pushes toward 86°F. Historical September averages near 80°F provide baseline context, but the near-term pattern favors these moderate outcomes over extremes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 2 will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$883Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a warm, humid southwest flow over the Northeast on September 3, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia, with 60-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap peak temperatures. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover are key variables that could shift the daily maximum between the tightly matched 82-83°F and 84-85°F market bins, while drier breaks or stronger mixing might allow brief pushes toward 86°F. Historical September averages near 80°F provide baseline context, but the near-term pattern favors these moderate outcomes over extremes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 2 will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$883Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a warm, humid southwest flow over the Northeast on September 3, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia, with 60-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap peak temperatures. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover are key variables that could shift the daily maximum between the tightly matched 82-83°F and 84-85°F market bins, while drier breaks or stronger mixing might allow brief pushes toward 86°F. Historical September averages near 80°F provide baseline context, but the near-term pattern favors these moderate outcomes over extremes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 2 will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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