Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 12 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 12 de julho?
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
30°C 19%
27°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
33%
29°C
41%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
30°C 19%
27°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
$510 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$68 Vol.
1%
27°C
$107 Vol.
9%
28°C
$497 Vol.
33%
29°C
$903 Vol.
41%
30°C
$136 Vol.
19%
31°C
$64 Vol.
4%
32°C
$40 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,895Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,895Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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