Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 12 de agosto?
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
47%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
3%
22°C
$337 Vol.
9%
23°C
$693 Vol.
47%
24°C
$271 Vol.
32%
25°C
$363 Vol.
11%
26°C
$760 Vol.
3%
27°C
$27 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,932Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,932Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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